We stand at the precipice of an imminent disaster.  Planet earth is in the throes of a major medical disaster.  Most people deny, ignore, or are oblivious to the consequences of the synergistic effect of global population aging, global warming, population growth, obesity, substance abuse, sexually transmitted diseases, hepatitis, tuberculosis, malaria, antibiotic-resistant bacteria, and the impending shortage of skilled caregivers.  Therefore, they go about their tasks and aspirations; unaware that we are being permeated and overtaken by trends and drivers that will cause irreversible devastation.

(For those who doubt what is presented here click the link below to see what the NIC and the CIA have to say about: The Global Infectious Disease Threat and Its Implications for the United States.  [Let it be noted that NIC and the CIA’s research is not a nearly as comprehensive as the work that I compiled and have presented here.])

http://www.dni.gov/nic/special_globalinfectious.html

With global population aging alone, we will have an imminent worldwide epidemic.  Global population aging will increase beyond the ability of medicine; it will bring about a shortage of trained doctors, nurses, and hospital facilities. 

In the United States population aging and increasing life spans will increase health care and pension costs while reducing the relative size of the working population, straining the social contract, and leaving significant shortfalls in the size and capacity of the work force.  America’s older population will be about 70 million by 2030.  Obesity, heart disease, cancer, stroke, Alzheimer’s disease, and diabetes are the big killers.  By the year 2025, Alzheimer’s will have crippled more than 22 million Americans and over 22 million Americans will have developed diabetes.  Diabetes is a leading cause of blindness, kidney failure, amputations, and dramatically raises the risk of heart attacks.  The effect of global population aging on the nation’s health care costs will be overwhelming.

It is debatable; however, there is growing evidence that global warming will have profound effects on the health and well-being of citizens throughout the world.  If global warming does take place it will cause dramatic climate changes that will cause meltbacks of polar ice and the sea level to rise; it will increase the frequency and severity of major storms, floods, and droughts; it will facilitate and increase the spread of disease.  The World Health Organization added its voice to the debate, it issued a report (December 2003) that estimates global warming led to 150,000 premature deaths in 2000.

Population growth will compound this forthcoming dilemma.  The combination of population growth and urbanization will foster instability and will have significantly divergent impacts.

Research shows that the number of overweight people around the world has climbed to 1.1 billion.  Obesity contributes to many diseases including: heart disease, stroke, diabetes, gallbladder disease, osteoarthritis, respiratory problems, and certain cancers.  It also raises the stress on joints, often causing injury and pain.  Obesity is no longer simply a medical problem—but an epidemic that threatens global well-being.

In the United States 61 percent of all adults are overweight.  It is estimated that obesity-related diseases cost Americans nearly 100 billion dollars annually (and climbing). 

As of September 2000, nearly half of all Americans suffer from at least one chronic disease.  The nation is unprepared to cope with the growing burden of chronic diseases, infectious diseases, and sexually transmitted diseases.

The total economic cost of tobacco, alcohol and other drug abuse on the U.S. economy exceeds $238 billion per year.  In addition, about $140 billion dollars is spent annually treating conditions and complications related to tobacco, alcohol, and other drug abuse.  Substance abuse disorders severely affect the non-abusing population as well.

The United States has one of the highest rates of sexually transmitted diseases of all industrialized countries in the world.  Sexually transmitted diseases affect one in four U.S. citizens over a lifetime.  These numbers reveal that one out of every four people in the U.S. are at risk for HIV at one point in their lives.  As of September 2000, more than 65 million Americans are infected with one or more STD's and over 57 million Americans have an incurable STD. There are an estimated 15 million new infections annually, a quarter of them among teenagers.  The risks associated with STD's range from sterility—to cancer—to death.  It is just a matter of time before major illnesses reach a critical level.

An effective way to reveal the future of HIV is to parallel it with genital herpes.  Overall, genital herpes infections jumped 30% in the United States from 1976 to 1994, with about one in five Americans over 12 years of age having the sexually transmitted infection.  The data gathered suggest that over 45 million Americans are infected with the genital herpes, high-risk behavior is prevalent, and mother-child infection is widespread.  It is estimated that 75% to 90% of all Americans have some form of herpes.

As of the end of 2003, AIDS has killed over 22 million people worldwide and it is estimated that over 40 million people are infected with HIV.  An estimated 5 million new HIV infections occurred during 2003 (that is about 14,000 infections each day).  The global cost of treating and containing HIV/AIDS will exceed $15 billion annually by 2007.

The percentage of HIV-positive cases turning up at anonymous testing centers in the United States nearly tripled between 1997 and 1999.  As of September 2003, about 1 million Americans are infected with HIV, and roughly, 40 percent are co-infected with hepatitis C; there are over 40,000 new HIV infections every year, and it is estimated that over half of the cases occur in teens and young adults.

While the number of new AIDS diagnoses in the United States declined in 2003 due to AIDS drug cocktails, the incidence of HIV and HIV co-infected with hepatitis C continues to increase.

There are three viruses A, B, and C that are responsible for the vast majority of cases of acute and chronic virus-associated hepatitis.  Hepatitis viruses attack the liver and cause liver cell injury.

Hepatitis A is found in food and water.  Annually about 200,000 Americans and 10 million people worldwide contract hepatitis A.  What is increasing concern now is that people that are already chronically infected with hepatitis C face a high risk of dying if they contract hepatitis A.  Infection with one strain of the virus offers no immunity from infection by another.

Hepatitis B is transmitted by human body fluids such as blood, seminal fluid, vaginal secretions, breast milk, tears, saliva, and open sores.  Its methods of transmission include mother to baby, during sexual contact, deep kissing, and by improper injection techniques.  HBV is 100 times more infectious than HIV.

HBV is preventable with a vaccine.  Nevertheless, more than two billion individuals alive today have been infected at some time in their lives with HBV, and approximately 350 million are chronically infected carriers of this virus.  HBV is one of the most common human pathogens, and it is the most prevalent chronic virus infection worldwide.  An estimated 140,000 Americans are infected each year with hepatitis B.  Approximately one to one and a quarter million Americans are chronically infected and are considered carriers of the hepatitis B virus.

Carriers of HBV are at high risk of serious illness and death from cirrhosis of the liver and primary liver cancer, diseases that kill more than one million carriers per year.  In addition, these carriers constitute a reservoir of infected individuals who perpetuate the infection from generation to generation.  A carrier is infectious and can transmit hepatitis B even though he/she has no signs or symptoms.

As of September 2000, it is estimated that nearly 5 million Americans (some estimates go as high as 15 million) are infected with hepatitis C; that there are up to 230,000 new hepatitis C infections in the U.S. every year.  About 8,000 to 10,000 Americans die of HCV annually, and the toll is expected to triple in the next decade or two.

It is estimated that globally there are over 200 million people chronically infected with hepatitis C.  HCV infection is the most common type of chronic viral hepatitis in the developed world.  People who are already infected with HCV can be re-infected with different sub-strains of hepatitis.  Over the next 10-20 years, chronic hepatitis B and C will become a major burden on the health care system as patients who are currently asymptomatic with relatively mild disease progress to end-stage liver disease.

If you have had a tattoo, body piercing, shared a straw used for inhaling drugs, used IV drugs, been exposed to blood, had sex with anyone at risk, or deeply kissed anyone who could be infected, or if you had a blood transfusion before 1992 you should be tested for hepatitis B and C.  (Sharing personal care items such as razors, toothbrushes, pierced earrings, fingernail files, and clippers can put you a risk of contracting HBV and HCV.)

After almost forty years of decline, tuberculosis is again on the upswing.  According to the World Health Organization, nearly one percent of the world’s population is newly infected with TB each year.  Overall, one-third of the world’s population or about 2 billion people are infected with tuberculosis.  Globally, there are six to eight million cases of TB diagnosed each year and two to three million people die of TB every year.  In the last 100 years, over 200 million people have died of TB.

Tuberculosis is an increasing and major worldwide problem, especially now that many immune weakening diseases and circumstances facilitate active TB.  HIV/AIDS, hepatitis, diabetes, old age, homelessness, malnutrition, heavy smoking, and drug or alcohol abuse (to name but a few factors) weaken the immune system, placing people at higher risk to get active TB.  TB is the leading cause of death from a single infectious agent in adults worldwide.

It is estimated that nearly 1 billion people will become infected with tuberculosis, 200 million will become sick, and 70 million will die worldwide between now and 2020.  These figures do not take into consideration that the drugs used to fight TB are harmful to the liver, which affects millions of people who are co-infected with chronic hepatitis. 

Furthermore, these figures do not reflect the onset of MDR TB (multi-drug resistant tuberculosis).  MDR TB is a very dangerous form of tuberculosis.  Some TB germs become resistant to the effects of the drugs used to fight TB.  The effects of TB and MDR TB will be increasingly common and will intensify with the progression of the other diseases.

Compounding this imminent medical disaster is that people with HIV/AIDS or weak immune systems are more likely to develop malaria.  Annually over 500 million people (mostly children) become ill with malaria and several million die.  Every 30 seconds, a child somewhere dies of malaria.

Globally, infectious diseases were considered particularly pernicious in developing nations.  However, international travel and commerce are now procuring the globalization of diseases.  In addition, microbial adaptation and change (antibiotic-resistant bacteria) are becoming increasingly common.  AIDS, TB, and malaria kill over 15,000 people daily.

Topping off this disaster is that fewer young people are taking up the nursing profession in the United States.  This will result in an acute shortage of registered nurses in the United States starting in 2010, when today’s nurses start to retire.

These episodes illustrate the volatility of infectious disease and the predictability of disease emergence.  Hospital beds will soon be overflowing with victims of the aforementioned scenarios (without skilled caregivers).

The Domino Effect

In countries across Africa, Asia, and Latin America diseases are unraveling years of progress in economic and social development.  Life expectancy, which has been steadily on the rise for the last three decades, will drop to 40 years and less in nine sub-Saharan countries by the year 2010.

In December 1994 the Mexican international reserves, which had stood at $29 billion, plunged to $5 billion.  In an effort to stave off a collapse of the Mexican economy, the United States signed a $50 billion loan.  In Mexico, the financial damage was contained.  Then South Korea needed direct financial help.  The Asian economic disaster was far worse than the Mexican was.  Starting in Thailand in June 1997, it had spread to the Philippines, Malaysia, and Indonesia by July.  Stock markets in these four nations were down an average of 65 percent; their national currencies fell.  As 1997 ended, the South Korea devaluation threatened Japan, and sent Wall Street down sharply.

The future holds a far deadlier economic disaster than the Mexican and Korean devaluation.  The nine sub-Saharan countries unraveling, as well as the global state of affairs, will have their own domino effect. 

Super Powers are obscuring warnings about falling life expectancy, the increasing numbers of orphans, extra costs for business, medical expenses overriding their exchangeable value, and the destruction of family and community structures.

There is compelling evidence that the aforementioned scenarios will have a profound impact on future rates of infant, child and maternal mortality, life expectancy, and economic stability.  These unprecedented impacts at the macro-level are matched by the intense burden of suffering among individuals and households.  These factors are unique in their devastating impact on the social, economic, and demographic development.

Taken together, these drivers and trends intersect to create an integrated picture of the world of 2015, about which we can make projections with varying degrees of confidence and identify cataclysmic certainties of strategic importance to the human race and the socio-cultural and socio-economic systems.

With dwindling numbers of economically active adults left to support the rest of the population, the impact on the economy will be crushing.  As the global work force becomes plagued and the economy is overburdened, most high-end consumer products and services will fold and currencies will fall as societies’ medical needs become acute.  The avalanche is gathering momentum.

The world’s population was about six billion in 2000.  The way the population is growing; there could 8.9 billion people by the year 2030.  The way the these viruses and medical problems are spreading, many experts agree that if left unattended, the affect on the world’s health care costs will procure a major disaster if the trends continue.

There is a horrendous cover-up taking place; and its intent is to offer a solution to a crisis it helped induce.  Many professional leaders, doctors, and so-called theologians are advocating immoral behavior.  Many politicians are endorsing the very acts that are responsible for the dismantling and warping of God’s laws.  Super powers behind this cover-up are lying in wait—ready to proceed with their solution to this disaster: a total control, one-world government.

Super powers are knowingly misinforming the public, diverting from and clouding vital issues.  They are deliberately implementing absurd medical plans, ludicrous so-called tax reforms, relief measures, and financial schemes that are squandering the political capital and shredding the social safety net, which will in turn warrant the collapse of the economy.  Furthermore, this subterfuge is a socialist conspiracy to do away with the middle class.

Another principal factor in the “War against the Free World” (the cover-up) is that this medical disaster will orphan a multitude of children.  Worldwide it is estimated that over 50 million children stand to lose one or both parents to AIDS by the years 2010. 

Include in this the synergistic effect of the aforementioned drivers and trends—and God only knows how many children will be affected.  Conservative estimates suggest by 2010, an estimated 81 million children are projected to lose one or both parents, with 25 million more orphaned due to HIV/AIDS.

This is just one of many circumstances that these super powers are going to exploit.  They want the government agencies to take control of orphans.  They want control of future generations.  They will be put in military-type schools.  Then they can teach them standardized curriculum and control their minds.

These factors will also contribute to a loss of skilled and talented people in this and coming generations; they will cause a massive shortages of goods, services, and jobs.

We are just beginning to see the tragic results to individuals, families, cities, states, nations, and the world.  Large sectors of cities will be uninhabited.  At the same time, chronic housing shortages will plague other cities.  The devastating times ahead will make the “great depression,” the severe U.S. economic crisis of the 1930’s, seem like easy street!  Read Revelation 18:1-24.

Spiritual Degradation and Immorality.

Within the book Revelation is a blueprint of what the future holds.  It is intended as a spiritual warning to prevent us from following worldly ways, to reassure the afflicted, to chasten the tempted, to strengthen those who suffer persecutions and hardships.  Some of the contents of this book seem bitter; there are prophecies that sound appalling and ungodly to the finite mind.

As were the days of Noah, so will be the coming of the plagues referred to in the book Revelation: plagues that incite violence and kill one third of humankind.  Before the flood, people were living in unmitigated defiance, acting as if everything were fine; and not until it started raining, and the waters began rising, and the flood was sweeping them away, did they realize their predicament.

The full impact of the aforementioned scenarios in terms of related illness, orphaned children, medical expenses overriding their exchangeable value, unproductivity, and mortality is hard to perceive.  The synergistic effect of the aforementioned drivers and trends are global threats that will complicate global security, as they exacerbate social, economic, and political tensions.

As one recognizes the moral free-fall of the world, and the fact that the majority of humankind has come to represent that which God abhors, it is very probable that these are the plagues of God’s judgment—that will incite violence and kill one third of humankind.  At the peak of this disaster, the death rate will be higher than the birth rate.

This medical disaster will overload the health care system.  Over the next 10-20 years, the economic cost of this medical disaster will be reflected by an overburden of social medical response that will deny health services to the masses, in many nations.

Sometime in the near future (perhaps between 2012 and 2020), the economy will be in a free fall, inflation and unemployment will skyrocket, and labor productivity will be headed to an all time low.  Poverty, hunger, and disease will drive the majority of the population to seek unconventional means of subsistence.

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     Götterdämmerung 

     gòt´er-dàm¹e-rùng´

A collapse (as of a society or regime) marked by catastrophic violence and disorder.